Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001080 0.001226 0.001372 0.001529 0.001693 0.001858 0.002037
2025-11-16 0.000847 0.001056 0.001273 0.001513 0.001768 0.002030 0.002318
2025-11-23 0.000669 0.000924 0.001196 0.001505 0.001840 0.002189 0.002579
2025-11-30 0.000565 0.000859 0.001183 0.001558 0.001971 0.002407 0.002897
2025-12-07 0.000440 0.000758 0.001120 0.001549 0.002028 0.002541 0.003121
2025-12-14 0.000322 0.000649 0.001040 0.001512 0.002050 0.002631 0.003295
2025-12-21 0.000256 0.000598 0.001021 0.001542 0.002142 0.002795 0.003546
2025-12-28 0.000175 0.000513 0.000954 0.001511 0.002161 0.002875 0.003702
2026-01-04 0.000122 0.000459 0.000920 0.001515 0.002218 0.002995 0.003899
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000399 0.000874 0.001500 0.002249 0.003083 0.004059
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000347 0.000833 0.001489 0.002283 0.003173 0.004218
2026-01-25 0.000006 0.000273 0.000755 0.001428 0.002255 0.003190 0.004294
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000213 0.000702 0.001412 0.002299 0.003310 0.004512
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000163 0.000659 0.001407 0.002356 0.003448 0.004751
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000121 0.000620 0.001406 0.002417 0.003590 0.004996
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000105 0.000624 0.001462 0.002548 0.003813 0.005334
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000070 0.000585 0.001455 0.002601 0.003944 0.005565
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000035 0.000529 0.001422 0.002618 0.004031 0.005744
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000023 0.000519 0.001452 0.002713 0.004209 0.006027
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000004 0.000471 0.001422 0.002730 0.004293 0.006202
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000447 0.001427 0.002790 0.004428 0.006432
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000412 0.001412 0.002824 0.004529 0.006622
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000382 0.001402 0.002861 0.004634 0.006816